Beyond the Numbers

Practical thinking on business finance, careers and the mindset behind both - written from 20 years of hands-on experience.

Latest · Forecasting & FP&A

Before you trust an AI forecast: five checks

AI will build your forecast in thirty seconds. It won't tell you when it's wrong. Five checks to run before an AI-built forecast goes anywhere near your board.

4 min read

Profitable but always broke: why your P&L lies about your bank account

Your business is profitable but the bank account tells another story. A finance consultant explains the profit-cash gap and the discipline that closes it.

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You've outgrown your finance function. Hiring is the expensive answer.

'We just need more finance people' is usually wrong. Four checks that show whether your real problem is capacity or complexity - before you spend £200K on headcount.

3 min readRead →

How a finance team gets to 96% forecast accuracy (four disciplines, no new software)

Forecast accuracy is a method issue. The four disciplines that took forecasts from board joke to 96%+ accurate across £10M to £200M+ budgets.

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FP&A for small business owners: what to build at £1M, £5M and £20M

Your accountant tells you what happened. FP&A tells you what happens next. What to build at each size of business - before hiring anyone.

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The CFO mindset for personal money: corporate discipline at kitchen-table scale

The discipline that runs £200M budgets works identically at £2,000. Forecasting, automation and scenario thinking for your own money - for educational purposes.

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The board pack diet: fewer numbers, better decisions

Forty-page board packs are an act of defence. Five KPI-design moves that make a board trust its numbers - from packs built across pharma, FMCG and financial services.

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The 13-week cash flow forecast, explained for founders

What a 13-week cash flow forecast is, why 13 weeks, and how founder-led businesses run one weekly without new software. From 20 years of finance leadership.

4 min readRead →

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